I will be in Florida for the duration of the first week of the baseball season. My in-laws have the dish network, and I will be enjoying th feast of games that will take place during the next 8 days. In the spirit of what I have done every year for the last 16 years, I provide my predictions for the season:
AL East
1. Boston Red Sox
2. Toronto Blue Jays
3. New York Yankees
4. Tampa Bay Rays
5. Baltimore Orioles
SI predicts that the Yankees will win the East with a total of 94 games in the win column. They are officially on drugs. This line-up gets older, and while A-Rod gets better, Jeter gets weaker. There are so many things about this team that could be very good. But I think it will come down to their age and durability. Their staff does not have the experience or the strength to grind out more than 80 some wins. The wheels will fall off about the end of August.
Boston has the make-up to remain consistent over the course of the season, which is what it will take to win the division. Toronto will be streaky. I like the make-up of the team, and they have enough pitching to overcome the Yankees.
The Rays will be better, and like many of the experts, I also think that they are beginning a path toward long-term success. They will be fun to watch.
AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers
2. Cleveland Indians
3. Chicago White Sox
4. Minnesota Twins
5. Kansas City Royals
Detroit’s line-up is full of professional hitters. Each one of them has the ability to change a game with one at bat. They are patient, smart hitters who can all work the count in their favor. It will be interesting to see the kind of damage they can do from 1-6. Cleveland is very balanced, and they will keep winning. Their staff is better balanced than Detroit, and their bullpen is certainly better. I think it will be a very close race between them all season, with both teams ending up in the post-season. It’s been great fun to watch this rivalry develop over the last 2 seasons and it will only get more intense.
Chicago will be good, and the Twins always find a way to compete at some point in the season. Kansas City may be headed in the same direction as the Rays, but they are still a long way off. It would be nice to see them gain back some of the elite status they had back in the late 70’s early 80’s.
AL West
1. Anaheim Angels
2. Seattle Mariners
3. Texas Rangers
4. Oaklans Athletics
This is the divsion that stumps me. There are no real favorites here, with the Mariners and Angels going either way. Texas will not be horrible, but they won’t be stellar either. Josh Hamilton will have monster year in Arlington.
The Angels have a very balanced line-up. Garret Anderson is old, and in the last year of his contract, but he still finds a way to turn in quality production year after year. The offense will be the difference in topping Seattle.
NL East
1. New York Mets
2. Philadelphia Phillies
3. Atlanta Braves
4. Washington Nationals
5. Florida Marlins
If New York doesn’t win this division then they don’t deserve to win anything for the next 10 years. They have the two best players in the National League filling the left side of their infield, they are solid up the middle, and they have the best lefthander in the game. I think Pedro will have a great year pitching 1-2 with Santana.
NL Central
1. Chicago Cubs
2. Cincinnati Reds
3. Milwaukee Brewers
4. Houston Astros
5. Pittsburgh Pirates
6. St. Louis Cardinals
It’s nice to put the Cubs at 1 without feeling like a wishful thinker. If they were to get Roberts then they wouldn’t have many weaknesses. They still remain a solid team with one of the better rotations in the game. Not overpowering, but more than effective.
I put Cincy in the 2 spot for several reasons. Their pitching has fewer question marks than Milwaukee, Dusty manages to win games and turn things around, and their line-up has a stronger veteran presence. And I also hate the Brewers.
NL West
1. Colorado Rockies
2. Arizona Diamondbacks
3. San Diego Padres
4. San Francisco Giants
Colorado has more going for them than the Backs do, even with the addition of Haren to the staff. Valverde is gone from the closer’s role, which was more of a factor in winning the close games last year that propelled them to the top of the division than people realize. They will have trouble scoring runs again, which the Rockies will not. Both of the Sans will have trouble to staying afloat this year.
Postseason:
AL
Division Series
Boston v Detroit
Cleveland v Anaheim
(Cleveland and Detroit will win more games than the Sox)
ALCS
Detroit v Cleveland
Cleveland in 7
NL
New York v Colorado
Chicago v Philadelphia
NLCS
New York v Chicago
Chicago in 7
World Series
Cleveland v Chicago
Cleveland in 6